Updated Hurricane Season Forecast Reduces Number of Named Storms, Below Average Activity

By  //  July 3, 2018

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NAMED STORMS REDUCED FROM 14 TO 11

Colorado State University’s Department of Atmospheric Science and researchers for its Tropical Meteorology Project adjusted their hurricane predictions for the 2018 season in a report issued July 2. The original forecast predicted 14 named storms, seven of them hurricanes, with three becoming major hurricanes. The current prediction has been adjusted down to 11 named storms, four of them becoming hurricanes, and one a major hurricane.

Colorado State University’s Department of Atmospheric Science and researchers for its Tropical Meteorology Project adjusted their hurricane predictions for the 2018 season in a report issued July 2.

The original forecast predicted 14 named storms, seven of them hurricanes, with three becoming major hurricanes. The current prediction has been adjusted down to 11 named storms, four of them becoming hurricanes, and one a major hurricane.

“We have decreased our forecast and now believe that 2018 will have below-average activity,” officials said in the report.

“The tropical and subtropical Atlantic is currently much colder than normal, and the odds of a weak El Niño developing in the next several months have increased.

“With the decrease in our forecast, the probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean has decreased as well. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.”

The next forecast will be issued on August 2.

CLICK HERE SEE THE FULL REPORT

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