Tropical System in Atlantic Has 80-Percent Chance of Further Development in Next 48-Hours

By  //  November 6, 2022

increase risk of coastal flooding, tropical-storm-force winds likely for Florida's East Coast

BREVARD COUNTY, FLORIDA – National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of low pressure located more than 200 miles north of Puerto Rico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

The system is forecasted to move northward and then northwestward into the southwestern Atlantic where environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a subtropical or tropical storm is likely to form in the next day or so.

National Hurricane Center gives this system an 80-percent chance of becoming a tropical system in the next 48 hours, a 90-percent chance in the next five days.

The system is then forecast to turn westward or west-southwestward over the southwestern Atlantic by the middle part of this week where additional development is possible.

Regardless of development, there is an increasing risk of coastal flooding, tropical-storm-force winds, heavy rainfall, rough surf, and beach erosion along much of the southeastern United States coast, the Florida east coast, and portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas beginning in the early to middle part of this week.

Interests in those areas should continue to monitor the progress of this system as tropical storm, hurricane, and storm surge watches could be required for a portion of these areas by early Monday.

Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service and in products from your local weather office.

Gov. Ron DeSantis has released a statement regarding the latest developments.

“We are closely monitoring Invest 98L which has developed in the Southwest Atlantic,” said Gov. DeSantis
“Floridians should prepare for an increased risk of coastal flooding, heavy winds, rain, rip currents & beach erosion as early as Tuesday.”