Multiple Tropical Storms Show More Organization in the Atlantic, Trend Away From Florida
By Space Coast Daily // August 21, 2023
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BREVARD COUNTY, FLORIDA – National Hurricane Center is continuing to monitor multiple disturbances in the Atlantic that are developing in the Atlantic on Monday.
At this time, there is no threat to Florida.
The first storm, Tropical Storm Gert, the center of Tropical Storm Gert was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 57.0 West. Gert is moving toward the west near 8 mph. This general motion is expected to continue today. Gert or its remnants are forecast to turn northwestward tonight and tomorrow.
Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while it moves toward the west-northwest or northwest at about 10 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
By early next week, upper-level winds over the system are forecast to increase, and further development is not expected.
The system has a 70-percent chance at developing into a tropical depression in the next seven days.
The second disturbance (AL99) is carrying showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located roughly halfway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles are showing some signs of organization.
Although environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for further development, a tropical depression could form during the day or so while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. Thereafter, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for any further development.
The system has a 40-percent chance at developing into a tropical depression in the next seven days.
Although environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for further development, a tropical depression could form during the day or so while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. Thereafter, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for any further development.
The system has a 40-percent chance at developing into a tropical depression in the next seven days.
The third disturbance is located east-southeast of the Lesser Antiles and is carrying area of low pressure that could form in a day or so from an elongated trough of low pressure located several hundred miles to the east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles.
Some slow development of this system is possible over the weekend and into early next week as it moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser Antilles and into the northeastern Caribbean Sea.
The system has a 40-percent chance at developing into a tropical depression in the next seven days.
The final disturbance tha this ppppis an area of disturbed weather located over the central Bahamas is forecast to move into the Gulf of Mexico by early next week, where a broad area of low pressure could form.
Thereafter, some slow development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form as it moves westward and approaches the western Gulf of Mexico coastline by the middle of next week.
The system has a 50-percent chance at developing into a tropical depression in the next seven days.
