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NHC: Tropical Storm Gabrielle May Be Brewing, System Traveling West-Northwest Across the Atlantic

By  //  September 1, 2025

Atlantic hurricane season typically peaks in mid-September

National Hurricane Center Meteorologists are closely monitoring a tropical wave emerging off the coast of Africa that bears the potential to develop into Tropical Storm Gabrielle. (NHC image)

(NHC) – National Hurricane Center Meteorologists are closely monitoring a tropical wave emerging off the coast of Africa that bears the potential to develop into Tropical Storm Gabrielle.

The National Hurricane Center has classified this system with a medium chance (around 50-60%) of formation within the next seven days.

Forecast models currently project the system will travel west-northwest across the Atlantic—though many suggest it will curve northward before coming close to Florida.

The Atlantic hurricane season typically peaks in mid-September, and activity is expected to intensify in the coming days. Should the disturbance strengthen into a tropical storm, it will be named Gabrielle, the next name on the 2025 naming list.

Although there’s currently no immediate threat to Florida, here’s what could unfold depending on how things develop:

Potential Impact Details:

• Rain & Flooding. Even a distant Gabrielle could enhance local showers late this week, especially in central and northern Florida. Labor Day forecasts already anticipate scattered showers and thunderstorms across much of the state.

• Windy Conditions. Coastal areas—particularly northeastern Florida—may experience gusty winds. A Wind Advisory is already in effect for coastal Duval and St. Johns counties through Monday.
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• Rip Currents & Surf. If Gabrielle forms and strengthens, it could generate dangerous surf and rip currents, posing risks to swimmers along the Atlantic coast.

• Storm Surge & Flood Risks. More likely if the storm strengthens and approaches, but current models suggest a northward turn that could spare direct surge impacts.

• Travel & Emergency Planning. With the Labor Day weekend behind us, it’s still a good time to stay updated. Flooding from passing showers can affect regional travel plans.

While no direct impacts from Tropical Storm Gabrielle are imminent, the system’s development warrants continued monitoring. With hurricane season ramping up, Space Coast residents should stay alert to evolving forecasts, especially as the system moves further west later this week.

SPACE COAST WEATHER FORECAST
Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms are likely, mainly after 2 pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. The chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms are likely, mainly before 8 p.m. The sky will be mostly cloudy, with a low of around 76. East wind 5 to 10 mph. The chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms are likely, mainly after 2 pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. The chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms are likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. The chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. The chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind around 5 mph. The chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north in the afternoon.
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