Tropical System in Central Atlantic Likely to Strengthen, Could Impact Northern Leeward Islands

By  //  October 6, 2025

hurricane season runs through November 30

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of low pressure in the central tropical Atlantic, designated as Invest AL95, is showing increasing signs of organization and development, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

BREVARD COUNTY, FLORIDA – The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of low pressure in the central tropical Atlantic, designated as Invest AL95, is showing increasing signs of organization and development, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

The system is located roughly 1,500 miles east of the Windward Islands and is moving quickly west-northwestward.

Satellite imagery shows that AL95 is becoming better structured, with more centralized thunderstorms and banding features—key signs that the disturbance is on track to strengthen.

Environmental conditions appear favorable for further development, including warm sea surface temperatures and low wind shear.

Forecasters at the NHC say there’s a high chance—80 percent in the next 48 hours and 90 percent over the next week—that AL95 will develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm soon. If it becomes a named storm, it will be the next in line for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.

The system is expected to approach or pass just north of the northern Leeward Islands on Thursday and Friday.

While it is too early to determine its exact track or intensity, residents in the Leeward Islands and surrounding regions are advised to closely monitor updates and advisories from the NHC and local weather agencies.

This developing system could bring increased rain, gusty winds, and rough seas to portions of the northeastern Caribbean by the end of the week if it continues to strengthen and maintain its current path.

The Atlantic hurricane season peaks in September but remains active through November, and this latest system serves as a reminder that conditions remain ripe for tropical development.