Florida Amendment 3 Polls 2026: What the Latest Surveys Show
By Bobby Freeman, real estate expert // October 14, 2026
New polls show 42% to 63% support ahead of November’s vote.
That finding comes just days after a James Madison Institute survey reported 63% support, placing the measure above the 60% voter approval required to amend Florida’s Constitution.
BREVARD COUNTY, FLORIDA – With Florida’s November 3 election just three weeks away, new statewide polling shows sharply different support levels for Amendment 3, the proposed constitutional amendment that would expand property-tax exemptions for qualifying Florida homeowners.
A new Stetson University poll released Tuesday shows 56% support for Amendment 3, with 21% opposed and 23% undecided.
That finding comes just days after a James Madison Institute survey reported 63% support, placing the measure above the 60% voter approval required to amend Florida’s Constitution.
The contrasting results highlight the uncertainty surrounding one of the state’s most closely watched property-tax proposals.
Latest Florida Amendment 3 Polls
Four recently released statewide surveys show considerable differences in voter support:
| Polling Organization | Support | Oppose | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Institute (Oct. 9) | 63% | 21% | 15% |
| Stetson University (Oct. 13) | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Mason-Dixon (Oct. 7) | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| St. Pete Polls (Oct. 8) | 42% | 35% | 23% |
Three of the four surveys show majority support, but only the James Madison Institute poll reports support above the required 60% threshold.
The Stetson survey, conducted October 1 to 9, included 826 Florida adults, including 716 registered voters. Its electoral estimates incorporate modeled voter turnout and weighting.
Targoz Market Research conducted the James Madison Institute survey from September 28 to October 4 and included 1,200 registered Florida voters.
Differences in survey methodology, sampling, and question wording can produce different findings. The results should not be interpreted as a sudden shift in voter opinion.
What Would Amendment 3 Do?
Amendment 3 proposes significant changes to Florida’s homestead property-tax exemption.
If approved, the proposal would increase the exemption for qualifying primary residences to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028, with additional inflation adjustments in subsequent years.
The expanded exemption would apply to eligible non-school property taxes. School district property taxes would remain outside the additional exemption.
For qualifying homeowners, the change could provide substantial annual savings, although the actual amount would depend on the property’s taxable value, applicable millage rates, and other factors.
The expanded homestead exemption would not apply to second homes, vacation properties, or investment properties that do not qualify as a primary residence.
What Could This Mean for Brevard County Homeowners?
For homeowners in Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral, Merritt Island, Viera, Satellite Beach, and throughout Brevard County, Amendment 3 could change how much they pay in annual property taxes.
However, the potential savings represent only one part of the discussion.
Local governments depend on property-tax revenue to help fund public safety, infrastructure, parks, libraries, and other community services.
The City of Cocoa Beach has published estimates suggesting Amendment 3 could reduce its property-tax revenue by approximately $2.1 million in 2027 and $3.3 million in 2028.
Those estimates are projections, not approved budget reductions.
Amendment 3 has not established corresponding service cuts or fee increases as a direct consequence.
Brevard County’s adopted FY2026-27 budget and millage rates were approved under existing law, before voters decide the amendment.
Homeowners Should Understand Both Sides
Bobby Freeman, a lifelong Brevard County resident and Real Estate Advisor with the McCoy Freeman Group at Compass, says the proposal deserves attention from both current homeowners and those considering a move to Florida’s Space Coast.
“Property taxes are a big part of the conversation when people are buying or owning a home here,” Freeman said.
“The potential savings are certainly getting attention, but homeowners should also understand how these changes could affect local services and future budgets.”
With the election coming up, Freeman said it’s important for people to look at the actual numbers and understand what the amendment would mean for their own property.
Freeman, with more than 22 years of experience in Brevard County real estate, notes that property taxes are an important consideration for buyers comparing oceanfront condominiums, waterfront homes, and primary residences throughout the Space Coast.
What Happens Next?
Florida voters will decide Amendment 3 in the November 3, 2026 general election.
Unlike a typical election decided by a simple majority, Florida constitutional amendments require at least 60% voter approval.
The latest polling shows support ranging from 42% to 63%, with several surveys showing substantial numbers of undecided voters.
For Brevard County homeowners, the questions remain straightforward: How much could they save, who would qualify, and how might the amendment affect the communities where they live?
Those questions will remain central as Election Day approaches.
Frequently Asked Questions
• When will Florida voters decide Amendment 3?
Amendment 3 is on the ballot in the November 3, 2026 general election.
• How much support does Amendment 3 need to pass?
Florida constitutional amendments require at least 60% voter approval, not a simple majority.
• Would Amendment 3 apply to second homes or investment properties?
No. The expanded homestead exemption would apply only to qualifying primary residences, not second homes, vacation properties or investment properties.
• Would Amendment 3 reduce school property taxes?
No. The expanded exemption would apply to eligible non-school property taxes. School district property taxes would remain outside the additional exemption.
Sources and Additional Information:
Stetson University, Stetson Poll: Donalds, Moody Maintain Double-Digit Leads in 2026 Elections, October 13, 2026.
James Madison Institute, statewide voter survey, October 9, 2026.
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, October 2026 statewide survey.
St. Pete Polls / Florida Politics, October 8, 2026.
City of Cocoa Beach, property-tax and Amendment 3 information.
Brevard County Property Appraiser, Amendment 3 homeowner guidance.
