National Hurricane Center Monitors Potential Tropical Development Near Florida, Atlantic Coast Early Next Week

By  //  July 17, 2026

hurricane season runs through November 30

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring two areas of disturbed weather in the Atlantic Basin, including one that could develop near Florida and the southeastern United States early next week. (NHC Image)

BREVARD COUNTY, FLORIDA — The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring two areas of disturbed weather in the Atlantic Basin, including one that could develop near Florida and the southeastern United States early next week.

According to the NHC’s 8 p.m. Tropical Weather Outlook on Thursday, forecasters expect an area of low pressure to form over the northeastern Gulf of America this weekend.

The system is forecast to move slowly northeastward across the northeastern Gulf and near the southeastern U.S. coastline early next week.

While tropical development remains unlikely in the short term, the system has a 20% chance of tropical cyclone formation over the next seven days. The chance of development during the next 48 hours remains near 0%.

Even if the system does not become a tropical cyclone, residents across Florida and the Southeast should monitor the forecast, as the disturbance could bring periods of heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and increased thunderstorm activity.

Meanwhile, forecasters are also tracking a tropical wave located southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands in the eastern Atlantic. Showers and thunderstorms associated with the wave remain disorganized, and only slow development is possible during the next day or two as it moves west-northwest at about 10 mph.

Environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable by this weekend, limiting any additional strengthening.

The tropical wave has only a 10% chance of developing over the next 48 hours and 7 days.

At this time, there are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Basin.

The National Hurricane Center continues to urge residents to stay informed throughout hurricane season and to review their preparedness plans, even when chances of development remain low.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs through November 30.