Home » Home » National Hurricane Center Raises Development Chances for Tropical Wave AL92 to 80%
National Hurricane Center Raises Development Chances for Tropical Wave AL92 to 80%
beginning to show signs of organization approximately 700 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
BREVARD COUNTY, FLORIDA – The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three systems across the Atlantic basin, including a tropical wave that is increasingly likely to become a tropical depression.
As of the NHC’s 8 p.m. update Tuesday, showers and thunderstorms associated with Invest 92L were beginning to show signs of organization approximately 700 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Environmental conditions are expected to support additional development during the next several days. Forecasters said a tropical depression will likely form within a couple of days as the disturbance moves west to west-northwest across the central tropical Atlantic.
The system now has a 60 percent chance of developing within 48 hours and an 80 percent chance during the next seven days.
Because the disturbance remains far out in the Atlantic, it is too early to determine whether it could eventually threaten any land areas. Residents along the East Coast and throughout Florida should continue monitoring future forecasts as the system develops.
The NHC is also tracking Invest 93L, a broad area of low pressure located approximately 900 miles east-northeast of Bermuda. Satellite imagery indicated its low-level circulation became better defined Tuesday.
A short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm could form during the next day or so as the system moves eastward at approximately 20 mph across the central subtropical Atlantic. However, it is expected to encounter cooler waters by Thursday, ending its opportunity for further development.
Invest 93L has a 40 percent chance of formation through both 48 hours and seven days.
Farther east, a tropical wave located just offshore of Africa is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Conditions could support some gradual development as the system moves west or west-northwest across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
That disturbance has a 10 percent chance of developing within 48 hours and a 20 percent chance during the next seven days.
No coastal watches or warnings are currently associated with any of the three systems.
The National Hurricane Center will continue issuing updates as conditions evolve.
