National Hurricane Center Monitors Two Tropical Waves in Atlantic, One Has 40% Chance of Development

By  //  August 9, 2026

Neither system poses an immediate threat, but a tropical depression could form during the second half of next week

BREVARD COUNTY, FLORIDA – The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two tropical waves moving across the Atlantic Ocean, including one that could develop into a tropical depression during the second half of next week.

Neither disturbance is expected to develop during the next 48 hours, and it remains too early to determine whether either system could eventually affect Florida or the United States.

The first disturbance is a broad area of unsettled weather associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Forecasters said some gradual development is possible during the early to middle part of next week as the system moves westward across the central tropical Atlantic.

However, upper-level winds are expected to become significantly less favorable for development later in the week as the disturbance approaches the Lesser Antilles.

The system has a near-zero chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a 20% chance of development during the next seven days.

The National Hurricane Center is also watching another tropical wave expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Tuesday.

Gradual development will be possible after the wave enters the eastern tropical Atlantic, and forecasters said a tropical depression could form during the second half of next week as the system moves westward across the eastern and central Atlantic.

That disturbance has a near-zero chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a 40% chance of development during the next seven days.

Residents along Florida’s Space Coast should continue monitoring forecasts during the peak months of the Atlantic hurricane season.

Forecast confidence regarding a system’s potential track and intensity typically improves after a defined circulation develops.